Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) Stock: A Value Analysis

Moreover, the 36-month beta value for FOSL is 2.53. Analysts have varying opinions on the stock, with 1 analysts rating it as a “buy”, 0 as “overweight”, 7 as “hold”, and 2 as “sell”.

The public float for FOSL is 46.78M and currently, short sellers hold a 4.53% of that float. On July 04, 2025, FOSL’s average trading volume was 295.76K shares.

FOSL stock’s latest price update

Fossil Group Inc (NASDAQ: FOSL) has seen a decline in its stock price by -2.40% in relation to its previous close of $1.67. However, the company has experienced a 10.14% gain in its stock price over the last five trading sessions. globenewswire.com reported 2025-07-02 that RICHARDSON, Texas, July 02, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FOSL) today announced the appointment of Laks Lakshmanan to the newly created position of Chief Supply Chain Officer, effective June 16, 2025.

FOSL’s Market Performance

Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) has experienced a 10.14% rise in stock performance for the past week, with a 3.16% rise in the past month, and a 29.37% rise in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 7.73%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 6.96% for FOSL. The simple moving average for the past 20 days is 14.67% for FOSL’s stock, with a 15.37% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of FOSL

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for FOSL stocks, with Maxim Group repeating the rating for FOSL by listing it as a “Buy”. The predicted price for FOSL in the upcoming period, according to Maxim Group is $5 based on the research report published on July 01, 2025 of the current year 2025.

Telsey Advisory Group, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see FOSL reach a price target of $5, previously predicting the price at $7. The rating they have provided for FOSL stocks is “Market Perform” according to the report published on February 27th, 2020.

Telsey Advisory Group gave a rating of “Market Perform” to FOSL, setting the target price at $12 in the report published on August 05th of the previous year.

FOSL Trading at 19.93% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought FOSL to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -37.55% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 6.96%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 7.73%, as shares surge +6.54% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading +81.88% upper at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, FOSL rose by +10.14%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +52.34% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $1.4215. In addition, Fossil Group Inc saw 14.79% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further gains.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at FOSL starting from Fogliato Franco, who purchase 138,825 shares at the price of $1.49 back on Nov 27 ’24. After this action, Fogliato Franco now owns 1,750,000 shares of Fossil Group Inc, valued at $206,849 using the latest closing price.

Fogliato Franco, the CEO of Fossil Group Inc, purchase 111,175 shares at $1.37 during a trade that took place back on Nov 26 ’24, which means that Fogliato Franco is holding 1,611,175 shares at $152,310 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for FOSL

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • -0.11% for the present operating margin
  • 0.55% for the gross margin

The net margin for Fossil Group Inc stands at -0.1%. The total capital return value is set at 1.34%. Equity return is now at value -51.93%, with -12.17% for asset returns.

Based on Fossil Group Inc (FOSL), the company’s capital structure generated 0.7 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at -0.01. The debt to equity ratio resting at 2.29. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is -5.96.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is -83.07 million with net debt to EBITDA at -3.14. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 0.46. The receivables turnover for the company is 5.81for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 3.56. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 1.84.

Conclusion

To wrap up, the performance of Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) has been better in recent times. The stock has received a mixed of “buy” and “hold” ratings from analysts. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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