The stock of Estee Lauder Cos., Inc (NYSE: EL) has increased by 0.79 when compared to last closing price of 68.46.Despite this, the company has seen a gain of 3.53% in its stock price over the last five trading days. seekingalpha.com reported 2025-06-04 that Michael Burry just sold everything and initiated major short positions. Is ‘The Big Short’ happening all over again? I don’t think so. The story is more complex than that. Here’s why.
Is It Worth Investing in Estee Lauder Cos., Inc (NYSE: EL) Right Now?
EL has 36-month beta value of 1.12. Analysts have mixed views on the stock, with 2 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 1 as “overweight,” 23 as “hold,” and 1 as “sell.”
The public float for EL is 233.09M, and currently, short sellers hold a 4.41% ratio of that float. The average trading volume of EL on June 10, 2025 was 4.05M shares.
EL’s Market Performance
EL stock saw an increase of 3.53% in the past week, with a monthly gain of 12.67% and a quarterly increase of -4.22%. The volatility ratio for the week is 1.52%, and the volatility levels for the last 30 days are 2.66% for Estee Lauder Cos., Inc (EL). The simple moving average for the last 20 days is 4.13% for EL’s stock, with a simple moving average of -7.15% for the last 200 days.
Analysts’ Opinion of EL
Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for EL stocks, with Telsey Advisory Group repeating the rating for EL by listing it as a “Market Perform.” The predicted price for EL in the upcoming period, according to Telsey Advisory Group is $66 based on the research report published on May 02, 2025 of the current year 2025.
Telsey Advisory Group, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see EL reach a price target of $76, previously predicting the price at $105. The rating they have provided for EL stocks is “Market Perform” according to the report published on November 01st, 2024.
JP Morgan gave a rating of “Neutral” to EL, setting the target price at $74 in the report published on November 01st of the previous year.
EL Trading at 12.39% from the 50-Day Moving Average
After a stumble in the market that brought EL to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -43.63% of loss for the given period.
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Insider Trading
Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at EL starting from Michael O’Hare, who proposed sale 9,540 shares at the price of $58.72 back on May 02 ’25. After this action, Michael O’Hare now owns shares of Estee Lauder Cos., Inc, valued at $560,188 using the latest closing price.
FRIBOURG PAUL J, the Director of Estee Lauder Cos., Inc, purchase 45,500 shares at $65.00 during a trade that took place back on Feb 07 ’25, which means that FRIBOURG PAUL J is holding 520,300 shares at $2,957,333 based on the most recent closing price.
Stock Fundamentals for EL
Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:
- -0.04 for the present operating margin
- 0.74 for the gross margin
The net margin for Estee Lauder Cos., Inc stands at -0.06. The total capital return value is set at -0.04. Equity return is now at value -17.27, with -4.09 for asset returns.
Based on Estee Lauder Cos., Inc (EL), the company’s capital structure generated 0.68 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.17. The debt to equity ratio resting at 2.16. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is -1.74.
Currently, EBITDA for the company is 1.98 billion with net debt to EBITDA at 49.64. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 2.14. The receivables turnover for the company is 8.25for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.74. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 1.41.
Conclusion
To put it simply, Estee Lauder Cos., Inc (EL) has had a mixed performance in recent times. Analysts have a mixed opinion on the stock, with some rating it as a “buy” and others as a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.
