In the past week, ARI stock has gone down by -2.93%, with a monthly gain of 5.61% and a quarterly plunge of -2.44%. The volatility ratio for the week is 1.52%, and the volatility levels for the last 30 days are 1.37% for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc. The simple moving average for the past 20 days is 0.06% for ARI’s stock, with a 2.78% simple moving average for the past 200 days.
Is It Worth Investing in Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (NYSE: ARI) Right Now?
The 36-month beta value for ARI is also noteworthy at 1.56. There are mixed opinions on the stock, with 1 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 1 rating it as “overweight,” 3 rating it as “hold,” and 0 rating it as “sell.”
The public float for ARI is 136.68M, and at present, short sellers hold a 2.12% of that float. The average trading volume of ARI on May 23, 2025 was 1.23M shares.
ARI) stock’s latest price update
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (NYSE: ARI)’s stock price has gone rise by 0.63 in comparison to its previous close of 9.54, however, the company has experienced a -2.93% decrease in its stock price over the last five trading days. seekingalpha.com reported 2025-05-21 that Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance’s high-risk model and history of dividend cuts make it a risky investment, with another dividend reduction potentially on the horizon. Despite recent efforts to improve its loan book and balance sheet, ARI’s earnings and payout ratio signal potential ongoing financial stress. Shares trade at a premium valuation vs. peers, while the 10.1% dividend yield is not covered and could mislead income-focused investors.
Analysts’ Opinion of ARI
Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for ARI stocks, with BTIG Research repeating the rating for ARI by listing it as a “Buy.” The predicted price for ARI in the upcoming period, according to BTIG Research is $11 based on the research report published on April 23, 2025 of the current year 2025.
Keefe Bruyette, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see ARI reach a price target of $10. The rating they have provided for ARI stocks is “Outperform” according to the report published on April 07th, 2025.
ARI Trading at 2.98% from the 50-Day Moving Average
After a stumble in the market that brought ARI to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -12.98% of loss for the given period.
Volatility was left at 1.37%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 1.52%, as shares surge +5.61% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading -2.93% lower at present.
During the last 5 trading sessions, ARI fell by -2.93%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by -4.48% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $9.59. In addition, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc saw 10.85% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further gains.
Insider Trading
Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at ARI starting from BIDERMAN MARK C, who sale 10,000 shares at the price of $9.48 back on Apr 29 ’25. After this action, BIDERMAN MARK C now owns 60,787 shares of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc, valued at $94,800 using the latest closing price.
MARK BIDERMAN, the Director of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc, proposed sale 10,000 shares at $9.48 during a trade that took place back on Apr 29 ’25, which means that MARK BIDERMAN is holding shares at $94,800 based on the most recent closing price.
Stock Fundamentals for ARI
Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:
- 0.7 for the present operating margin
- 0.79 for the gross margin
The net margin for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc stands at 0.04. The total capital return value is set at 0.06. Equity return is now at value 0.41, with 0.09 for asset returns.
Based on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI), the company’s capital structure generated 0.79 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.03. The debt to equity ratio resting at 3.66. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 0.45.
Currently, EBITDA for the company is -634.86 million with net debt to EBITDA at 147.04. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 26.18.
Conclusion
In summary, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) has had a mixed performance as of late. Analysts have mixed opinions on the stock, with some viewing it as a “buy” and others as a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.
