Hercules Capital Inc (HTGC) Stock: A Value Analysis

The price-to-earnings ratio for Hercules Capital Inc (NYSE: HTGC) is 13.03x, which is above its average ratio. Moreover, the 36-month beta value for HTGC is 0.86. Analysts have varying opinions on the stock, with 3 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 3 as “overweight,” 3 as “hold,” and 0 as “sell.”

The public float for HTGC is 171.99M and currently, short sellers hold a 3.78% of that float. On May 22, 2025, HTGC’s average trading volume was 1.51M shares.

HTGC) stock’s latest price update

The stock of Hercules Capital Inc (NYSE: HTGC) has decreased by -2.97 when compared to last closing price of 17.86. Despite this, the company has experienced a -1.76% fall in its stock price over the last five trading sessions. seekingalpha.com reported 2025-05-19 that Hercules Capital delivered decent Q1 results, with robust net investment income supporting its attractive dividend yield. The investment firm maintained excellent balance sheet quality, reinforcing confidence in its dividend sustainability. Despite trading at a 56% premium to NAV, I believe the premium is justified by Hercules Capital’s consistent dividend coverage and growth in portfolio investments.

HTGC’s Market Performance

HTGC’s stock has fallen by -1.76% in the past week, with a monthly drop of -0.07% and a quarterly drop of -19.60%. The volatility ratio for the week is 1.79% while the volatility levels for the last 30 days are 1.87% for Hercules Capital Inc The simple moving average for the last 20 days is -1.94% for HTGC stock, with a simple moving average of -9.24% for the last 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of HTGC

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for HTGC stocks, with Keefe Bruyette repeating the rating for HTGC by listing it as a “Outperform.” The predicted price for HTGC in the upcoming period, according to Keefe Bruyette is $21.50 based on the research report published on December 12, 2024 of the previous year 2024.

Compass Point, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see HTGC reach a price target of $17.50, previously predicting the price at $17. The rating they have provided for HTGC stocks is “Neutral” according to the report published on January 16th, 2024.

UBS gave a rating of “Neutral” to HTGC, setting the target price at $17 in the report published on November 21st of the previous year.

HTGC Trading at -3.38% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought HTGC to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -20.80% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 1.87%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 1.79%, as shares sank -1.65% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading -3.94% lower at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, HTGC fell by -1.76%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by -7.87% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $17.72. In addition, Hercules Capital Inc saw -13.11% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further losses.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at HTGC starting from Theodosopoulos Nikos, who purchase 5,999 shares at the price of $17.49 back on May 08 ’25. After this action, Theodosopoulos Nikos now owns 11,960 shares of Hercules Capital Inc, valued at $104,923 using the latest closing price.

Loo Wade, the Director of Hercules Capital Inc, purchase 5,999 shares at $17.49 during a trade that took place back on May 08 ’25, which means that Loo Wade is holding 13,149 shares at $104,923 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for HTGC

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.48 for the present operating margin
  • 0.83 for the gross margin

The net margin for Hercules Capital Inc stands at -0.23. The total capital return value is set at 0.05.

Based on Hercules Capital Inc (HTGC), the company’s capital structure generated 0.01 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at -23.54. The debt to equity ratio resting at 0.01. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 3.12.

When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 7.75. The receivables turnover for the company is 11.73for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.1.

Conclusion

To wrap up, the performance of Hercules Capital Inc (HTGC) has been bad in recent times. The stock has received a mixed of “buy” and “hold” ratings from analysts. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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