Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) Shares Down Despite Recent Market Volatility

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Fossil Group Inc (NASDAQ: FOSL)’s stock price has gone decline by -11.24 in comparison to its previous close of 1.69, however, the company has experienced a 19.05% increase in its stock price over the last five trading days. 247wallst.com reported 2025-05-21 that With 13-F filing season now in the rear-view mirror, many retail investors now have a chance to see what the smart money (think billionaire hedge fund managers) have been up to in the first quarter.

Is It Worth Investing in Fossil Group Inc (NASDAQ: FOSL) Right Now?

FOSL has 36-month beta value of 2.55. Analysts have mixed views on the stock, with 1 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 0 as “overweight,” 7 as “hold,” and 2 as “sell.”

The public float for FOSL is 46.78M, and currently, short sellers hold a 4.57% ratio of that float. The average trading volume of FOSL on May 22, 2025 was 430.27K shares.

FOSL’s Market Performance

FOSL stock saw an increase of 19.05% in the past week, with a monthly gain of 67.37% and a quarterly increase of -7.98%. The volatility ratio for the week is 14.63%, and the volatility levels for the last 30 days are 10.25% for Fossil Group Inc (FOSL). The simple moving average for the past 20 days is 20.77% for FOSL’s stock, with a 10.12% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of FOSL

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for FOSL stocks, with Telsey Advisory Group repeating the rating for FOSL by listing it as a “Market Perform.” The predicted price for FOSL in the upcoming period, according to Telsey Advisory Group is $5 based on the research report published on February 27, 2020 of the previous year 2020.

Telsey Advisory Group gave a rating of “Market Perform” to FOSL, setting the target price at $12 in the report published on August 05th of the previous year.

FOSL Trading at 27.05% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought FOSL to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -42.53% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 10.25%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 14.63%, as shares surge +61.99% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading +17.19% upper at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, FOSL rose by +19.05%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +35.14% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $1.2421. In addition, Fossil Group Inc saw -10.18% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further losses.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at FOSL starting from Fogliato Franco, who purchase 138,825 shares at the price of $1.49 back on Nov 27 ’24. After this action, Fogliato Franco now owns 1,750,000 shares of Fossil Group Inc, valued at $206,849 using the latest closing price.

Fogliato Franco, the CEO of Fossil Group Inc, purchase 111,175 shares at $1.37 during a trade that took place back on Nov 26 ’24, which means that Fogliato Franco is holding 1,611,175 shares at $152,310 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for FOSL

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • -0.11 for the present operating margin
  • 0.55 for the gross margin

The net margin for Fossil Group Inc stands at -0.1. The total capital return value is set at 1.34. Equity return is now at value -51.93, with -12.17 for asset returns.

Based on Fossil Group Inc (FOSL), the company’s capital structure generated 0.7 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at -0.01. The debt to equity ratio resting at 2.29. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is -5.96.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is -83.07 million with net debt to EBITDA at -3.14. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 0.45. The receivables turnover for the company is 5.81for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 3.56. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 1.84.

Conclusion

To put it simply, Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) has had a mixed performance in recent times. Analysts have a mixed opinion on the stock, with some rating it as a “buy” and others as a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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